# Growth-curve Explorer

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Click or drag on the parameters area.

A family of growth curves with two shape parameters (a and b), that includes most of the known univariate growth models as special cases.  It also describes probability distributions with an explicit form for the cumulative, useful in computer simulation, including the Burr Type III and Type XII, among others.

The growth curve equation is  y = B-1[B-1(t, b), a],  where B is the negative Box-Cox transformation  B(x, c) = (1 - xc) / c  if  c ≠ 0,  B(x, 0) = -ln x.  Or  B-1(x, c) = (1 - c x)1/c  if  c ≠ 0,  B-1(x, 0) = e-x.  In general, t and y are subject to affine transformations, with additional location and scale parameters.  Negative scale parameters reverse the  t- and y-axis, and are specified here by ticking the Reverse checkbox (both axes, reversing only one would give decreasing curves).  For details see Garcia, O. "Unifying sigmoid univariate growth equations", Forest Biometry, Modelling and Information Sciences 1, 63-68, 2005 (www.fbmis.info).

The graphs at the top show the y-over-t growth curve (or distribution function) and the dy/dt-over-y growth rate curve, corresponding to the shape parameters a and b chosen with the mouse in the parameters diagram below.  The contours in the diagram (Figure 1 from Garcia 2005) indicate the height of the inflection point, and common names of some growth-curve instances are indicated (items in parenthesis correspond to reversed-axis versions).  Sigmoids have an inflection point and an upper asymptote.  Selecting the Auto checkbox chooses the appropriate axes orientation for a sigmoid, when possible.  Ticking the Density checkbox displays the probability density function.

What's in a name?  Attaching names to equations is always risky.  Very often assumptions about priority turn out to be wrong.  Naming the case  a = 1/3, b = 0  after von Bertalanffy, although common, seems particularly unfair, given that he used a general  a ≥ 0  in the 1930's.  These values contain the most useful parameter range of the "Richards" function, as acknowledged in Richards' 1959 publication that popularized it for modelling plant growth.  In the forestry literature the function is often referred to as "Chapman-Richards", although Chapman's 1961 application of it to growth in fishes follows a well-known 1957 fisheries monograph by Beverton and Holt.  Recently, the Richards function has been attributed to Mitscherlich, who only used instances where  1/ is an integer.

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